Thursday, May 17, 2012
By exurbanDoug on 5/16/2012 8:28 PM

Today, Democrats and Republicans stand united...against Present Obama's budget.

99-0 in the Senate against and 414-0 in the House against.  Translation, not a single elected member of the Legislative Branch voted for Barry's budget.  Not even Nancy Pelosi or Bernie Sanders supported the President!

When nobody in your own party votes to support your budget, you have problems.  The Democrat Party has a majority in the Senate (53-47) but they can't muster the votes (and willpower) to pass a budget, even when their party had a majority in the House of Representatives.  This shows that there are serious problems between the President and the Majority Leader.

We'll see what happens between now and the election but there will be more theatre as we approach the debt limit.  One thing is for sure, Obama has no support for his budget amongst those who control the purse strings.

By Kevin on 5/16/2012 4:52 AM

A liberal Democrat attempts to explain Obama's push (putsch?) into Arizona

Given the convergence of a number of factors, the state is much more winnable than it appears.

Start with the “McCain effect” on the 2008 result in the state. There are compelling reasons to believe that GOP performance in Arizona would have been far weaker in 2008 had it not been the home state of the Republican nominee, John McCain. Indeed, Arizona was statistically an outlier, especially for its area of the country, when it came to the polls. 

There are other reasons for this "outlier", and those reasons are called Barry Goldwater, Jon Kyl, Jeff Flake, etc. I mean, it's not like Arizona is right next door to Utah, or something. 

Oh wait, it is. 

This does not mean, of course, that Obama will have an easy time carrying Arizona. On the contrary, it will likely be quite difficult. 

Right there is your Nobel Prize winner for Understatement Of The Year.

But it can be done, especially if the Obama campaign can change three key elements of 2008’s electoral equation. First, the share of Hispanic voters must grow and their support level for Obama must increase. In 2008, 16 percent of voters were Hispanic; based on eligible voter trends that number should rise to 19 percent given solid work to register and mobilize this population. And in 2008, Hispanics supported Obama by just 56-41 in the state. Given everything that’s happened in the state in the last four years and the absence of McCain, a politician famous for his moderate record on immigration, on the ticket, it should be possible to move that number up to national support levels (67-31 in 2008 and possibly higher this year).

Unless Hispanic voters like to, you know, WORK. The Obama campaign is in big trouble if that topic comes up.

Next, consider the influence of ongoing demographic changes in the state which have been steadily increasing the percentage of minority eligible voters, mostly Hispanics, and reducing the share of relatively conservative white working class voters. According to William Frey’s analysis of census data, these trends have continued and perhaps accelerated in the last four years. The composition of the Arizona electorate in 2012 could be 3 to 4 points more minority (chiefly Hispanic) and 3 to 4 points less white working class than in 2008.

White working class voters in Arizona have been shrinking, but the size of the white working class vote has been shrinking across the nation as a whole for some time now. And we college-educated types like to cling to our guns and religion, too. 

Second, a projected 3 point decrease in the size of the total white vote should come entirely from white working class voters. 

Only if we ignore the thousands and thousands of white working-class voters that are moving to the Copper State to find work or seek out better weather

Finally, Obama’s performance among white college graduates needs to improve over 2008 levels, when he lost this group by 17 points. 

Yeah, good luck with that. College students are jumping off the HopeNChange Express like it was headed over a cliff

Which, of course, it is. 

The stage is set then for a possible Obama victory in 2008. Arizona is not out of reach given a serious commitment of Obama’s campaign to mobilization in the state. It will be very challenging, but if there is one state that Obama can plausibly win that the did not in 2008, Arizona is it.

So what they're saying is that IF Obama is going to better than he did in 2008, it'll be in Arizona. A state that is as rock-solid reliable Republican as they come. 

I wish them good luck. They are certainly going to need it.

By exurbanDoug on 5/15/2012 9:18 AM

Who would have thought that President Obama would "evolve" his views on gay marriage to where Vice President Dick Cheney was in...2009?

Cheney will never receive any accolades from the elites for his stance on this issue but the media is biased so there is no surprise there.  Obama got a free pass for those years when he was against gay marriage after he was for it and before he was for it (again).

Personally, I am with Dennis Prager on this issue.  I don't support re-defining marriage to include same-sex couples but have no problem working with homosexuals on areas where we have common ground.  Listen, I want the HillBuzz crew on my side along with Peter Thiel and anybody else who supports free markets, limited government, and personal responsibility.  There are many political issues where all those on the center-right can work together and return our country to its Constitutional roots.  After all:

The person who agrees with you 80 percent of the time is a friend and an ally — not a 20 percent traitor.

Ronald Reagan

By Kevin on 5/15/2012 7:02 AM

Wait, who am I fooling?

I LOVE TO GLOAT ABOUT THINGS LIKE THIS!!!!!!!!! 

So much for Obama's social issues strategy

"Obama is currently running for re-election as an opponent of sexism, homophobia and social reaction in all its forms. This is a decent strategy for winning news cycles, which the administration clearly did last week — playing the media brilliantly and watching as Romney was thrown on the defensive yet again. But Obama has won news cycle after news cycle this spring, and yet the president and his unloved, out-of-step-with-the-times challenger are almost dead even in the polls. That’s a sign that something isn’t working — and that this White House, not for the first time, has mistaken a clever strategy for a winning one."

Winning the news cycle means squat these days because the news cycle itself means squat. Viral posts on Facebook and Twitter can get your message out a HECK of a lot faster than some press hack handing out releases to beat writers. Sarah Palin is supremely effective at using Facebook to bypass the mainstream media, and Republicans have recently mastered Twitter.

The Democrats? Not so so much... 

By exurbanDoug on 5/14/2012 3:28 PM

When Elizabeth Warren goes down to defeat this fall, I won't cry for her.  Neither will Anthrax for that matter....

As this whole matter receives more attention, claims of Ms. Warren's supposed Native American heritage become progressively weaker.  In fact, it looks like there is no evidence that she is even 1/32nd Cherokee.  It just goes to show that undocumented claims that are taken as truth (by Harvard and Penn among others) can bomerang.  This looks especially bad for those who were supposed to check Warren's background...

The candidate is not helping herself either.  She continues to ignore the First Rule of Holes as seen here.  Its evident that Fauxcahontas of Cambridge spent too much time inside the (liberal) bubble and that her clue-finding skills have atrophied.

By Kevin on 5/13/2012 3:41 PM

While we wait around for the Supreme Court to put Donald Verilli out of our misery and announce that yes, (thankfully) there are limits to what the federal government can do, it's important to remember there are still plenty of lawsuits against Obamacare to follow. 

Including one from Arizona's own Goldwater Institute

The Goldwater Institute filed a federal lawsuit to block national healthcare reform, arguing it violates the rights of a Tempe business owner, Arizona lawmakers and even members of Congress.

The suit attacks the plan on several fronts, arguing it tramples individual rights and that Congress won't have proper oversight of a health care system that it doesn't even have the authority to create. It also violates the First Amendment rights of 29 Arizona lawmakers who signed onto the suit, said Goldwater attorney Clint Bolick.

"We believe that the lawsuit that we filed this morning is the strongest challenge yet to the federal health care law," Bolick said.

The Phoenix-based Goldwater attacked the bill, which is backed by President Barack Obama, as the most sweeping invasion of personal liberty in U.S. history.

The lead plaintiff is Nick Coons, 31, owner of RedSeven, a Tempe-based computer repair company. The suits says he carries only catastrophic insurance coverage to save money and because he is healthy. The plan covers costs of $5,000 or more and Coons pays for other medical care himself. 

If you live in the East Valley, own a PC and need to repair it, you might want to consider dropping it off at a Red Seven location as a show of support for their lawsuit. And in the meantime, if you need insurance, there are options for health care for individuals without making health insurance for individuals compulsory.

By exurbanDoug on 5/11/2012 3:28 PM

Looks like Friday is not a slow news day after all.

Expecially for "Native American" Elizabeth Warren.

Captain Ed over at Hotair posted that Harvard actively identified Ms. Warren as a Native American.  I guess they bought into her "family lore" about being a Cherokee.  The Best and Brightest at Cambridge apparently did not research her claims and took her at her word.  After all, they wanted to appear to have an "inclusive" and "diverse" staff.

This is just another example of the silliness that goes on in the academic world and shows just how out of touch some people are.  Yet people still forget the First Rule of Holes and continue digging deeper and deeper.

By Kevin on 5/11/2012 2:46 PM

Hey! 

It's Friday! 

Get up and dance! 

By Kevin on 5/11/2012 8:58 AM

Let's break it down. 

Black voters in North Carolina voted against civil unions and gay marriage by a 2-1 margin

Obama says he now supports gay marriage

Obama won the 2008 election partly because he motivated black voters to go to the polls like no Democrat politician before him

Obama won North Carolina in the 2008 election by a mere 14,000 votes out of over 4.1 million votes cast in that state. 

21.7% of those votes were cast by black voters, or about 890,00 votes. 

If just a fraction of the black voters from 2008 refuse to back Obama because of his gay marriage flip flop evolution, North Carolina goes for the GOP in 2012. 

And that's just one state. What happens to Virginia, Ohio and Florida if a big chunk of Obama's bulwark demographic stays at home in 2012? 

Ham sandwich, anyone? 

Update: Well, at least Obama can count on perennial Democrat stronghold states like Oregon, right? Or not.

By exurbanDoug on 5/11/2012 8:26 AM

Fauxcahontas (aka "Elizabeth Warren") is running for Senate in Massachusetts and will face incumbent Scott Brown in November.  Besides being a Northeastern Liberal (which she undoubtedly is), Ms. Warren claims to be part Native American (which she may not be).  This is causing quite a stir in the Bay State and a lot of embarrassment for Warren's supporters.

You see, both Harvard and Pennsylvania listed her as a minority when she taught there even though Warren's claims of Indian heritage were based on "family lore."  What's odd too is that despite claiming Native American status, she didn't participate at all in Indian events...anywhere.

Its almost as if she used the claimed status of Native American to advance her career and elicit sympathy.

One could say this is an expected result from a system (academic) and culture (liberal) that groups people by gender/tribe/class along with other factors.  The elites shower people like Ms. Warren with all manner of flattery and accolades because she represents their tribe.  In her case, she is an educated liberal woman who has a long list of published works and a history of career accomplishments.  Fauxcahontas represents the Massachusetts archtype of a progressive/liberal leader who will fight for an ever larger role of government in people's lives since smart folk like her know best.  When you live in a bubble like Boston in an overwhelmingly liberal state like Massachusetts, its not a surprise that you get product like Elizabeth Warren.

Which is why she has been so ill-equipped to deal with her (foolish) claims of Indian heritage.  All her friends and colleagues held similar worldviews and traveled in the same circles.  When challenged, she ignored the First Rule of Holes and dug herself in deeper.  Even though she is a Democrat in a traditionally blue state, she faces an uphill battle to win a Senate seat.  This shows the folly of living inside the liberal bubble and what happens when the people investigate the claims of those who seek to represent them.  Its embarrasing to witness but serves as an important lesson for those who think their background, education, and social circle make them qualified to represent their constituents.

Kind of reminds me of a video from my high school days...

Somehow I think there will be a trail of tears once her campaign is over.

HT to AoS for their coverage of this story.

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